Episode 07 - Twain Becomes One

Well, Rafe has successfully made it to the merge - a very special accomplishment since every member of the new tribe will be "in play" until the end of the game as a member of the Survivor Jury.

Alliances to date
Core alliance:
Steph
Rafe
Gary

Secondary alliance:
Steph, Rafe, Gary, Lydia, Jamie

Tertiary alliance:
Steph, Rafe, Gary, Lydia, Jamie, Judd

Possible alliance:
Gary, Danni, BJ, Brandon

Prediction
The core alliance will continue to stand strong. Gary, Rafe & Stephanie will reform their bonds now that the merge has taken place and create a plan to eliminate all others. They are sitting in a very nice position to do so because the rest of the tribe is so fractured. However, Stephanie is playing very stupidly right now by breaking one of the Survivor commandments - taking a leadership role. It's very clear that she is running the show and she isn't taking any steps to back off. This will get her kicked off in the next 4 episodes - she will not make the final 4. A new core alliance of Rafe, Gary, Danni and Brandon will be formed and they will be the Final 4 contenders.

Rafe's current odds for the win - 65%